TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kai Wehneltof Kai Wehnelt, Nick Hardt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf377…4159backed Kai Wehnelt47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.9717148%82 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Nick Hardt55c5,093$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.21,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Nick Hardt53c4,521$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.123,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Kai Wehnelt50c4,116$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.274,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nick Hardt25c3,802$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.3111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nick Hardt33c3,630$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.128,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nick Hardt55c3,194$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.628,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Kai Wehnelt68c3,141$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.3913050.8%66 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kai Wehnelt50c2,742$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.964,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nick Hardt47c2,341$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.624,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nick Hardt32c2,248$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.484,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Nick Hardt63c1,901$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Nick Hardt1c1,853$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.38517.8%4 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Kai Wehnelt54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8538557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Kai Wehnelt36c1,615$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.0419041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Kai Wehnelt44c1,593$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.023253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Kai Wehnelt47c1,556$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.0770254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kai Wehnelt37c1,487$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.033,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Nick Hardt64c1,323$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.7912852.3%67 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Nick Hardt71c1,160$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.7229552.2%154 W · 141 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Nick Hardt59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nick Hardt62c827.32$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.6288358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked Kai Wehnelt59c749.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Nick Hardt43c676.41$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.761,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Nick Hardt47c648.26$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.231,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Nick Hardt32c574.47$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4844758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Nick Hardt50c559$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.778838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Kai Wehnelt35c543.36$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.361,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nick Hardt54c528.89$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.842,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Nick Hardt49c528.55$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5664837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Nick Hardt51c498$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.142946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Kai Wehnelt43c487.08$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.373,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kai Wehnelt54c425.02$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.91,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Nick Hardt71c407.01$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.251,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kai Wehnelt37c389.96$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.522,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nick Hardt66c384.48$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.344,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Kai Wehnelt61c336.53$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.85,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Kai Wehnelt43c320.72$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1936545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Kai Wehnelt46c317.39$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.391,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Nick Hardt34c297.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014921.5%32 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Kai Wehnelt33c278.24$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4243347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Nick Hardt34c268$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.121,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582c…3266backed Kai Wehnelt68c266.18$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.184459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nick Hardt45c244.64$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2762140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Nick Hardt48c233.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3154141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Nick Hardt51c217$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6712446.8%58 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nick Hardt52c203.05$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.256,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Kai Wehnelt40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Kai Wehnelt37c189.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.621,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Nick Hardt63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.850952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Nick Hardt63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Kai Wehnelt22c158$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.461,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nick Hardt50c147.24$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.688,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Nick Hardt42c136.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8244729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Kai Wehnelt28c134.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9773648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Kai Wehnelt37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.686835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Nick Hardt27c119.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4822035.9%79 W · 141 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Nick Hardt57c103.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.161,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Kai Wehnelt65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nick Hardt35c98.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4189663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Nick Hardt54c97.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.111,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Kai Wehnelt38c85.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.523,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Nick Hardt41c82.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nick Hardt61c81.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.484,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Nick Hardt58c76.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.521,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kai Wehnelt60c74.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.796,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Kai Wehnelt38c68.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3269047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Nick Hardt43c67.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8611056.4%62 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Nick Hardt54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.414757.8%85 W · 62 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Nick Hardt45c53.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9653657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Nick Hardt22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Kai Wehnelt75c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5916588.5%146 W · 19 L+37.7wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+33%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2484…5c15backed Nick Hardt62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Kai Wehnelt42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6271857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Kai Wehnelt48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6741440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Nick Hardt48c38.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed Nick Hardt34c38.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0812641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Kai Wehnelt40c36.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9529147.8%139 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b57…bf08backed Nick Hardt54c33.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.865942.4%25 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Nick Hardt63c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7935164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Kai Wehnelt37c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7912657.1%72 W · 54 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Nick Hardt55c29.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3631443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Nick Hardt53c29.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.434149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Nick Hardt63c28.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921455.1%118 W · 96 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Nick Hardt60c28.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Nick Hardt65c27.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1837058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Kai Wehnelt37c27.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3428164.4%181 W · 100 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Kai Wehnelt38c27.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7627239%106 W · 166 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kai Wehnelt48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.446,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Nick Hardt63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nick Hardt67c21.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.559,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Nick Hardt71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Kai Wehnelt69c19.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1910395.1%98 W · 5 L+25.4wins+0.25per pick70cpaid+32.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Nick Hardt69c18.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.011,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Nick Hardt62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa239…3fcebacked Nick Hardt61c16.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.