Tennis · resolved market
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d09f204aca94af5c0515aa74ed77fddb48009d33ac2e7fabbe60066895ddbb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darja Vidmanovaof Caroline Werner, Darja Vidmanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Caroline Werner | 15c | 6,498$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.15 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Caroline Werner | 3c | 3,569$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Caroline Werner | 5c | 2,189$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Caroline Werner | 13c | 1,671$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Caroline Werner | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Caroline Werner | 18c | 1,197$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Caroline Werner | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Caroline Werner | 12c | 326.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Caroline Werner | 13c | 296.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Caroline Werner | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Caroline Werner | 14c | 224.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Caroline Werner | 16c | 222$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Caroline Werner | 9c | 219.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Caroline Werner | 14c | 209.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a6b8backed Caroline Werner | 12c | 148.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Caroline Werner | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Caroline Werner | 17c | 103.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Caroline Werner | 14c | 103.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Caroline Werner | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Caroline Werner | 13c | 94.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Darja Vidmanova | 80c | 89.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Caroline Werner | 16c | 80.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Darja Vidmanova | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monterrey Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Werner vs VidmanovaVidmanova won
- Set 2 Winner: Werner vs VidmanovaVidmanova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.