Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f245a23e5f11289b07d1bf7ee625381e17e29aac197ec9b89694d0d15b46282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kyrian Jacquetof Kyrian Jacquet, Lautaro Midon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5698…4a0fbacked Lautaro Midon | 3c | 10,343$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lautaro Midon | 6c | 7,965$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.46 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lautaro Midon | 17c | 1,470$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lautaro Midon | 7c | 966.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lautaro Midon | 16c | 761.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lautaro Midon | 6c | 688.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lautaro Midon | 16c | 294.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lautaro Midon | 17c | 291.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Lautaro Midon | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Lautaro Midon | 16c | 160$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Lautaro Midon | 17c | 147.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Lautaro Midon | 18c | 104.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Lautaro Midon | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Lautaro Midon | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lautaro Midon | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…8dc9backed Lautaro Midon | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Lautaro Midon | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midonthis page
- Set Handicap: Jacquet (-1.5) vs Midon (+1.5)Jacquet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.