TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Li Tu vs Quinn Vandecasteele

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Quinn Vandecasteeleof Li Tu, Quinn Vandecasteele
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4699…5051backed Li Tu8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Li Tu4c2,406$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.674,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Quinn Vandecasteele74c2,056$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.828,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Li Tu45c1,750$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.762,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Li Tu28c1,570$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.596,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Quinn Vandecasteele53c1,275$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.751,02049.9%509 W · 511 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Quinn Vandecasteele54c1,212$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.341,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8db8backed Li Tu8c1,063$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Li Tu2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4847328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c925.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.921,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Li Tu47c823.29$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.553,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Quinn Vandecasteele78c730.33$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.222,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Quinn Vandecasteele55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2712752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Li Tu4c711.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9429519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Li Tu47c633.59$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7996541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Li Tu46c599.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Quinn Vandecasteele65c553.25$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.48,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Li Tu46c439.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.391,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ab…68b6backed Li Tu7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011214.3%16 W · 96 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Quinn Vandecasteele57c421.05$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0544056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c387.94$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4533558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Quinn Vandecasteele45c339.03$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.911,01336.5%370 W · 643 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Li Tu21c317.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5573738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Li Tu18c317$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4859738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Quinn Vandecasteele42c308.32$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1542747.8%204 W · 223 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Li Tu49c272.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.089,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d8…be44backed Li Tu10c249.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.397254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…c501backed Li Tu12c240$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.184032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Li Tu42c202.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.021,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Quinn Vandecasteele48c201.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0219447.4%92 W · 102 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Quinn Vandecasteele54c201.64$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.751,06157.4%609 W · 452 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Li Tu8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523831.5%75 W · 163 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1926450%132 W · 132 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Quinn Vandecasteele36c185$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.331,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Quinn Vandecasteele51c184$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1632659.2%193 W · 133 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb997…faacbacked Quinn Vandecasteele51c183.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.164146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c177.78$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.781,00250.2%503 W · 499 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Quinn Vandecasteele51c177.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.994,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeec…2f66backed Quinn Vandecasteele57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4420361.6%125 W · 78 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Quinn Vandecasteele77c139.57$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6911,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Quinn Vandecasteele80c133.32$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.994,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Quinn Vandecasteele78c127.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8384…3953backed Quinn Vandecasteele70c124.16$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.252035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Quinn Vandecasteele77c119.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Li Tu34c113.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.643,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Quinn Vandecasteele44c110.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7728848.3%139 W · 149 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Quinn Vandecasteele53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Li Tu59c107.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.471,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50b…d9a9backed Quinn Vandecasteele47c104.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Li Tu48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4891845.4%417 W · 501 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Li Tu42c93.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.435,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.121,80258.9%1,062 W · 740 L+5.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Li Tu47c88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.365,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Li Tu46c86.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Li Tu24c84.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1379249.1%389 W · 403 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Quinn Vandecasteele52c79.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1429643.6%129 W · 167 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Quinn Vandecasteele72c77.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.684,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Quinn Vandecasteele65c75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.14,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Quinn Vandecasteele53c74.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.330465.1%198 W · 106 L+20.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc60…64f2backed Quinn Vandecasteele53c71.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Quinn Vandecasteele58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2633164%212 W · 119 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Li Tu46c67.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1243452.3%227 W · 207 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Quinn Vandecasteele69c62.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.271,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Quinn Vandecasteele34c57.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7220750.2%104 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Quinn Vandecasteele74c57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.676,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Quinn Vandecasteele51c55.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.277,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a78…8c84backed Quinn Vandecasteele36c54.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa584…c9adbacked Quinn Vandecasteele53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6284548.3%408 W · 437 L+34.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Quinn Vandecasteele64c46.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8525048.4%121 W · 129 L+22.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Li Tu55c45.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8980558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Li Tu48c39.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.192454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+80.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Quinn Vandecasteele52c35.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0450445.8%231 W · 273 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.141863.9%267 W · 151 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd7…1735backed Quinn Vandecasteele58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4813366.9%89 W · 44 L+16.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Quinn Vandecasteele61c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4835866.5%238 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Quinn Vandecasteele56c27.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2746151.6%238 W · 223 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x623f…a6b8backed Quinn Vandecasteele58c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Quinn Vandecasteele44c22.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.888450%42 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Quinn Vandecasteele54c22.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3431250.6%158 W · 154 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Quinn Vandecasteele79c22.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6487450.6%442 W · 432 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Quinn Vandecasteele51c20.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Li Tu63c19.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.422,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Quinn Vandecasteele53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Quinn Vandecasteele59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9764753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.