TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Struff, Bublik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Struff31c38,215$11,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,727.1280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bublik69c34,789$23,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,792.451,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Struff23c22,720$5,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,133.1211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Bublik71c14,016$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.2327360.1%164 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Struff36c13,794$5,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,033.297,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Bublik62c13,310$8,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.1113754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bublik71c12,895$9,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,734.5965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Struff40c12,619$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.6728444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Bublik70c11,456$7,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.444461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bublik62c9,440$5,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.2397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bublik62c9,062$5,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.371,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Bublik57c8,697$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,696.931,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Struff32c8,618$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.6881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bublik80c8,347$6,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.588,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bublik67c8,068$5,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.9511242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Bublik71c8,049$5,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.821,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Struff39c7,868$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.033336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Bublik61c7,517$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.051758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Bublik80c7,290$5,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.8313260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bublik61c5,464$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.153,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bublik72c4,796$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.4465459%386 W · 268 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Struff38c4,389$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.0138652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Struff27c4,073$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.3292655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Struff29c3,991$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15772132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Struff28c3,984$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.962,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bublik79c3,769$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.432,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Struff29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023130.3%70 W · 161 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Struff3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Struff20c3,015$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bublik69c3,001$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.282,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Struff27c2,908$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.1476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Struff21c2,767$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58246030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Struff17c2,511$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.8816830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Struff37c2,187$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.7448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Bublik73c2,055$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7926158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Bublik73c2,050$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.178262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Struff16c2,026$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.161233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Bublik59c1,989$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.4955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Bublik78c1,920$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.3736968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Struff46c1,701$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.0257939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Bublik57c1,700$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7355343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Struff26c1,619$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4630339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Struff35c1,576$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Struff28c1,568$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44111123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Struff45c1,556$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Struff28c1,547$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.391,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Struff28c1,407$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0223126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Bublik56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61658438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Struff48c1,308$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Struff30c1,273$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.672,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Struff29c1,228$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2378052.7%411 W · 369 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Struff44c1,193$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5271,11043%477 W · 633 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Bublik65c1,186$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9737444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Struff11c1,091$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Bublik75c1,055$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7430544.9%137 W · 168 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…6de5backed Struff29c1,028$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Bublik73c1,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.416743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Bublik74c1,000$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1845457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Struff41c974.63$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.612627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Struff26c962.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.147,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik71c919.61$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4931850.3%160 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Struff35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Bublik70c854.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.774146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa441…dedebacked Struff42c852.64$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Bublik64c793.92$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Bublik66c757.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7914250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Struff26c750.88$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4835032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bublik65c743.38$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Bublik72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4454138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Struff43c607.29$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26312951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Bublik61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2346165.6%40 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Struff37c596.79$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1713435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Struff43c583.57$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.947057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Struff35c571.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Bublik56c555.36$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3665651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Struff28c546.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1616133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Struff37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Struff33c530.01$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.940748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Bublik61c519.67$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6725152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Struff42c500$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.249632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Bublik72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Struff29c499.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.643042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Bublik62c499$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2715648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bublik72c483$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8917867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Bublik70c442$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0470465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Bublik59c433.51$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.157462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Struff47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Bublik71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5418957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Struff31c412.87$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9911838.1%45 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0505…db98backed Bublik73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.96988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Struff25c407.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe77a…ce3cbacked Struff33c400$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Struff36c399.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14614858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a8…196fbacked Struff16c360.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Struff33c358.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5429063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Struff28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011426.3%30 W · 84 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Bublik57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.886050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Struff28c346.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Struff30c341.93$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.292,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Struff34c318.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1316132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.