TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,205 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes42c725.55$304 inLost-$304.2223251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No54c294.18$158 inWon+$135.742,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc5…67a5backed No60c190.12$114 inWon+$76.051546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4793…a932backed No62c104.5$65 inWon+$39.763964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No60c83.33$50 inWon+$33.3313855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No62c60.23$37 inWon+$22.892,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes52c50$26 inLost-$2623640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed Yes50c50$25 inLost-$259078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed No60c40$24 inWon+$1614557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No54c36.12$20 inWon+$16.623,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No57c25.91$15 inWon+$11.227067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No64c22.5$14 inWon+$8.178559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.