La Liga · resolved market
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb48fb2841ae4e5ecb05031966aba9323653dc1ce049927d21c6914b4dbd728b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 51c | 1,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 49c | 1,864$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 49c | 1,113$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.61 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 52c | 824.93$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 53c | 637.8$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.39 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 51c | 490.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 46c | 426.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 75c | 208.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed No | 21c | 173.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 104.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes | 46c | 84.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 49c | 78.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 50c | 58.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…b7dbbacked Yes | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 46c | 38.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…22ebbacked No | 50c | 35.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…139ebacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…177ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac2…7404backed Yes | 46c | 28.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 25.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…72f4backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…5767backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Jude Bellingham: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.