Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af3deeec2daa45a0083a32071d1c1fbbaf38762d72a306e466779974731c6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8d…f78abacked Yes | 36c | 1,740$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 65c | 1,128$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 63c | 1,079$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…bd60backed Yes | 31c | 822.47$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 67c | 485$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 29c | 452.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.83 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…fb95backed No | 71c | 365$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed No | 71c | 335.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef16…d826backed No | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 60c | 252.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…f88fbacked No | 61c | 198.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 38c | 189.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked No | 61c | 185$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…fbb3backed No | 68c | 97.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 69c | 86.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 40c | 84.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 84.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked No | 70c | 78.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…9aacbacked No | 67c | 65.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…449cbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…3b87backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…8e27backed No | 67c | 43.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…12a4backed No | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed No | 65c | 29.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e25…0851backed No | 59c | 27.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…1af9backed No | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…a45ebacked No | 59c | 23.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.