Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7696f83fb624eaecf1eb51cf9976c7f029f0e55cd35fc4cef8dc508cee9ecf52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6908…29bcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,655$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…7060backed Yes | 0c | 9,146$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 11c | 4,348$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,227$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…4d41backed Yes | 12c | 835.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes | 12c | 473.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…1446backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…ca2dbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…55d4backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Yes | 11c | 188.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 10c | 136.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…d8ccbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…0a76backed Yes | 11c | 102.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…4363backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…b274backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed27…bbd2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…867bbacked Yes | 12c | 95.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…1cb0backed Yes | 12c | 84.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…580ebacked Yes | 31c | 80.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.