Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2a7051f0c1287f394c04bc869a2ae92a3e39ef0b23353dba71a90db5b72d4a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,187$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,599$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…4d41backed Yes | 16c | 844.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…29bcbacked Yes | 15c | 727.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4108backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 15c | 533.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 439.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.71 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 67c | 425.29$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.79 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…d577backed Yes | 14c | 314.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 15c | 313.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 15c | 251$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.33 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…55d4backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Yes | 13c | 211.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…5ec9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 14c | 169.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…0ec5backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 16c | 152.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…e1adbacked Yes | 17c | 149.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…9e46backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1becbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 15c | 110$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…dc0dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Yes | 15c | 101.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…760abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 12c | 93.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 78.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…b569backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…b274backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 15c | 69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…d8ccbacked Yes | 16c | 62.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…5e01backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc481…52eebacked Yes | 60c | 43.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 0 Arsenal FC?No won
- Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 4 - 3 Arsenal FC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.