TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lionel Messi: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes61c4,565$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.81,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No46c3,262$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.3713122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc4…db58backed No40c2,805$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+55%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.24746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes54c1,254$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1523251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No43c1,111$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.931,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes53c979.4$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.0832765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Yes65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes54c540.56$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.931554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Yes57c526.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…0cdebacked No46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf767…61dfbacked Yes54c462.03$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed No47c382$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4627744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…ad16backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes54c333.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806643.9%29 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed No47c284$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5234751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Yes54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9912724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No37c210.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.163,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd0…57dbbacked No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2341…3535backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c190.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No47c185.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011337.2%42 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe247…edf1backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61fd…5b6ebacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011231.3%35 W · 77 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No46c156.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.411,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbc…8c98backed Yes54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes57c147.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7723640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Yes60c146.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9745254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No46c139.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.592,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No42c137.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.222,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1447049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c117.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc12…f422backed Yes54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.43641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb4…b3fcbacked No40c89$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes59c84.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-15.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked No40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf285…52c2backed Yes54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.83351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No37c62.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.318930.3%27 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6570backed Yes54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed No40c47.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.578855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6aa…4e0ebacked No60c46.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…c994backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…05b8backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252528%7 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd4…50fabacked Yes40c45.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.281421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb3…ca8bbacked No47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2625549%125 W · 130 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No46c41.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6740352.1%210 W · 193 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed Yes54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1432943.8%144 W · 185 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes64c40.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0963544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d1b…46abbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd861…672cbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…0187backed Yes41c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.358350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Yes54c31.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724955.4%138 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed No42c29.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.261957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+50.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa608…2c77backed Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5b…84c8backed Yes54c27.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No47c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4378559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Yes54c25.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7510840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaba…a787backed No47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2515857.6%91 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f3…a328backed No47c24.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0268…28b9backed No47c23.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…6270backed No47c23.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6d…fd62backed No47c23.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89a…aa35backed No47c22.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…017dbacked Yes62c22.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.891353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0006…2725backed No47c22.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b25…81ccbacked No47c21.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.581376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Yes54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3428257.1%161 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3288…13d4backed Yes57c20.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes54c20.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.052272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.817945.3%81 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b7…0bc9backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85048%24 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-67.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.