Michael Olise: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd94dae6d9070c7658d57e790839d5b5efb20cdda2de4207bb373e73773f22dce

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,605 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf438…9559backed No	70c	14,311$10,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,293.36	144	49.3%71 W · 73 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb22…4f04backed Yes	30c	2,480$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe937…d46abacked Yes	30c	930$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	68c	663.63$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.99	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	68c	662.37$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.13	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes	31c	582.47$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Yes	30c	510$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	68c	433.45$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.7	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	69c	399.95$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No	72c	350$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.61	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes	30c	324.87$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.46	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa668…f0f1backed Yes	30c	322.3$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.69	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes	30c	321.5$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.45	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes	32c	315.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	90	40%36 W · 54 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…ce04backed Yes	32c	213.41$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Yes	30c	194.77$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.43	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No	69c	177.14$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	180	40%72 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	470	49.4%232 W · 238 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Yes	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes	33c	132.38$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.58	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No	69c	129.99$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Yes	38c	123.68$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	69c	123.64$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.04	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…0a64backed Yes	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76e2…7784backed Yes	42c	118.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684c…92f4backed Yes	30c	116.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	30c	115$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…07e5backed Yes	30c	103.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+4.8wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+23%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes	31c	103.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	286	26.9%77 W · 209 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes	31c	102.68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	105	25.7%27 W · 78 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes	23c	93.92$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes	30c	87.13$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	115	26.1%30 W · 85 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9986…1dfbbacked Yes	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Yes	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7e…7181backed Yes	30c	77.83$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc406…1debbacked Yes	30c	77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes	36c	76.29$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.48	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…0bdabacked Yes	19c	73.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes	31c	70$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x500e…bd16backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddbd…d26cbacked Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f43…487fbacked Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+455.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc48…e792backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09d1…8162backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4b…0c34backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f7…00d1backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb3…b2dcbacked Yes	30c	63.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…36f4backed Yes	31c	61.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes	30c	53.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef2…e7acbacked Yes	30c	53.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+4.6wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	31c	50.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.52	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7f…0632backed No	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed No	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e2f…e131backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57af…81cebacked Yes	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes	32c	46.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd141…205cbacked Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	8.2%4 W · 45 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed No	70c	45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Yes	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	124	37.1%46 W · 78 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	73c	39$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.53	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	67c	34.5$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	69c	31.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.81	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	69c	29.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.29	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d59…928ebacked Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	69c	24.86$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.72	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No	66c	23.66$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.95	454	72.9%331 W · 123 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Michael Olise: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event