TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeeva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maria Lourdes Carleof Maria Lourdes Carle, Maria Timofeeva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Maria Timofeeva62c6,933$4,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.038,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Maria Lourdes Carle39c5,094$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.739430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Maria Lourdes Carle23c3,998$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.5733955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maria Timofeeva65c2,115$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Lourdes Carle32c1,987$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.427,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Maria Timofeeva70c1,938$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.494,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Maria Lourdes Carle33c1,682$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.8257249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Maria Timofeeva76c1,414$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.71,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Timofeeva72c1,184$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.024,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Lourdes Carle25c1,151$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.43,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Maria Lourdes Carle10c1,100$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Maria Lourdes Carle7c1,071$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.437512%9 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Maria Timofeeva77c974.03$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Maria Timofeeva75c931.13$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70059965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Maria Timofeeva2c877$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.932,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle22c771.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.453,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Maria Lourdes Carle33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.064122%9 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Maria Lourdes Carle33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.061,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Maria Timofeeva78c593.94$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.2660856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Maria Timofeeva74c559.99$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.91,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Maria Timofeeva2c524.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Maria Lourdes Carle12c500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle34c482.05$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.3855243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17dd…056abacked Maria Timofeeva75c454.69$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.572552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Maria Timofeeva78c435$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.21,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Maria Lourdes Carle24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Maria Lourdes Carle19c379.67$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.7356827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Maria Lourdes Carle58c329.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6443950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Maria Timofeeva77c320.51$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.791,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maria Timofeeva69c296.66$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.984,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Lourdes Carle25c285.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.546,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1258…0c15backed Maria Lourdes Carle11c272.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.732010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Maria Lourdes Carle25c237.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8535032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Maria Timofeeva76c228.78$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.877,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Maria Lourdes Carle32c227$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3648331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Maria Timofeeva67c215.59$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.172,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Maria Lourdes Carle31c206.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1767838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Maria Timofeeva68c197.62$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2432240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Lourdes Carle28c191.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.128,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Maria Timofeeva77c151.75$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.851,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Maria Lourdes Carle9c147.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2814613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Maria Lourdes Carle29c137.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.591,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Maria Lourdes Carle29c132.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3192145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maria Lourdes Carle68c132.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.839,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Maria Timofeeva77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Maria Timofeeva78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Maria Timofeeva79c126.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Maria Lourdes Carle21c126.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…69a5backed Maria Lourdes Carle25c124.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8221555.8%120 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle73c111.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1239238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Maria Timofeeva78c110.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8640161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Maria Timofeeva15c105$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.618851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Maria Lourdes Carle77c105$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.745343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Maria Timofeeva77c103.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Maria Lourdes Carle64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Maria Timofeeva77c99.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…41dfbacked Maria Lourdes Carle30c97.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.393554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Maria Timofeeva50c90.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Maria Lourdes Carle36c78.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.484640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Maria Timofeeva17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.783047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Maria Lourdes Carle16c68.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5752739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Maria Timofeeva77c64.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0118551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Maria Timofeeva77c64.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Maria Timofeeva77c64.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018148.1%87 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Maria Timofeeva48c61.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016242%68 W · 94 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Maria Timofeeva77c60.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9214452.8%76 W · 68 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.024862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Maria Timofeeva71c57.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.666452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Maria Lourdes Carle28c57.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1423754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Maria Lourdes Carle59c54.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5215946.5%74 W · 85 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Maria Lourdes Carle30c54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5932935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked Maria Lourdes Carle23c52.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+128.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Maria Timofeeva39c51.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9818410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Maria Lourdes Carle22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3952750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Maria Timofeeva66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle30c46.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3727936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Maria Lourdes Carle62c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5135187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Maria Lourdes Carle37c42.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6189663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Maria Lourdes Carle26c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.592138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Maria Timofeeva77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2901…f4d6backed Maria Timofeeva70c37.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.396535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Maria Lourdes Carle31c35.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.872,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…323abacked Maria Lourdes Carle56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7113640.4%55 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Maria Timofeeva77c34.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.627,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Maria Lourdes Carle36c28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9230746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Maria Timofeeva78c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Maria Lourdes Carle70c24.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Maria Timofeeva57c20.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle69c19.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0532732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…d908backed Maria Timofeeva76c18.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Maria Timofeeva76c17.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Maria Timofeeva77c16.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9449151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af8…0f85backed Maria Timofeeva73c13.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.213354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Maria Timofeeva77c13.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4958665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.