Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Aoi Ito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e09bf47d153cace8f9d5109d64c8522733fe70354470f8ba517e9cbbbcec824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lulu Sunof Lulu Sun, Aoi Ito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x288c…3641backed Aoi Ito | 35c | 8,626$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lulu Sun | 65c | 7,508$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Aoi Ito | 24c | 824.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Aoi Ito | 16c | 523.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lulu Sun | 80c | 399.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Aoi Ito | 23c | 363.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lulu Sun | 67c | 321.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lulu Sun | 77c | 320.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aoi Ito | 6c | 304$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lulu Sun | 78c | 289.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Aoi Ito | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Lulu Sun | 76c | 276$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Aoi Ito | 23c | 186.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Aoi Ito | 7c | 169.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Aoi Ito | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aoi Ito | 14c | 145.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Aoi Ito | 30c | 139$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lulu Sun | 76c | 126.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lulu Sun | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Aoi Ito | 23c | 102.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lulu Sun | 78c | 100.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Lulu Sun | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Lulu Sun | 76c | 99.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Aoi Ito | 34c | 83.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Lulu Sun | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Aoi Ito | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lulu Sun | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lulu Sun | 76c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Aoi Itothis page
- Sun vs. Ito: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.