TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

BYU Cougars vs. Miami Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Miami Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed BYU Cougars80c38,266$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,666.1711662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Miami Hurricanes20c21,742$4,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,348.4169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Miami Hurricanes20c5,830$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.031,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes13c5,760$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.735,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami Hurricanes21c5,229$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miami Hurricanes22c4,921$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.345,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed BYU Cougars79c4,435$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.21353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Hurricanes30c3,316$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.653,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Miami Hurricanes9c1,423$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.92,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Miami Hurricanes21c1,202$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.421,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed BYU Cougars70c1,070$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.052,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Hurricanes24c1,043$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3233438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Miami Hurricanes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Miami Hurricanes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed BYU Cougars62c645.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.076157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Miami Hurricanes21c569.11$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.215137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed BYU Cougars58c543.72$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6810757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed BYU Cougars78c480$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.82,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed BYU Cougars72c470.15$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.47864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Miami Hurricanes22c426.03$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7352928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Miami Hurricanes23c417.75$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0832337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Miami Hurricanes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609347.3%44 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed BYU Cougars63c221.42$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1310437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x484f…3994backed Miami Hurricanes48c158.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c0…93fdbacked Miami Hurricanes32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b0…5663backed Miami Hurricanes31c139.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674b…f1afbacked BYU Cougars75c133.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…fbc5backed Miami Hurricanes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf3…e0d1backed BYU Cougars59c124.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…139bbacked BYU Cougars70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Miami Hurricanes36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed BYU Cougars61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3655657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Miami Hurricanes21c92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3234947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami Hurricanes26c87.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Miami Hurricanes20c81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Miami Hurricanes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+317%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Miami Hurricanes35c73.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x499e…c968backed Miami Hurricanes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-49.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Miami Hurricanes22c53.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Miami Hurricanes25c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.257450%37 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Miami Hurricanes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed BYU Cougars71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.179871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked BYU Cougars78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed BYU Cougars79c21.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.523,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf72…d057backed BYU Cougars70c21.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.