Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a26169331a639aedda7b0d3ff48273eb614982a45419ac9119c7e45e3fe35b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 8c | 3,786$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.41 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes | 78c | 2,543$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 65c | 1,754$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 11c | 1,573$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…9357backed Yes | 71c | 1,237$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…cb9abacked No | 22c | 1,183$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…da21backed No | 32c | 1,036$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…b561backed No | 21c | 1,005$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 71c | 999.97$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…5635backed No | 1c | 993.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…35e6backed Yes | 72c | 974.07$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.07 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 11c | 902.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 22c | 900$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b2afbacked Yes | 67c | 900$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…e412backed No | 39c | 873.22$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.49 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…9921backed No | 1c | 869.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 29c | 853.77$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 3c | 800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…747abacked No | 27c | 732.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked No | 28c | 700$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 33c | 592.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…9fc4backed No | 10c | 491.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dd…f76dbacked Yes | 62c | 482.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…51ffbacked No | 9c | 481.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 9c | 434.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…c336backed Yes | 74c | 392.5$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked Yes | 72c | 365.43$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 75c | 332.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Yes | 68c | 304.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed Yes | 73c | 300.24$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 10c | 275.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6999backed No | 35c | 259.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 24c | 252.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…a62dbacked No | 30c | 251.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 237.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…a1ddbacked Yes | 65c | 234.21$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…d40bbacked No | 11c | 221.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…7822backed Yes | 77c | 202.27$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 7c | 199.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2a…88b8backed No | 16c | 191.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 34c | 176$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 57c | 172$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 168$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 23c | 157.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 10c | 141$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 9c | 134.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 133.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b84…5061backed Yes | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 22c | 112.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4952…44b7backed No | 17c | 110.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed Yes | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 43c | 105$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…6c69backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…54e7backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c4…eee1backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…6734backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 10c | 99.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…ee37backed No | 30c | 86.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…727cbacked Yes | 73c | 73.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…1bf9backed No | 28c | 72.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…10eabacked Yes | 73c | 68.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ba…ee00backed No | 33c | 60.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…d87fbacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e564backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 75c | 55.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 39c | 51.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…6082backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked No | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 63c | 44.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…3dbabacked Yes | 66c | 44.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…3204backed No | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…59d8backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2f6backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…7100backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 65c | 35.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f4…42b8backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…52f0backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…3ecfbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…1893backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.