Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa694b199bf95272156212e1c92f281f3b9a19ce945c48dd0c02e00b220c19298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, FTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed FTS | 21c | 13,000$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.28 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FTS | 22c | 11,460$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.1 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed Inner Circle | 78c | 5,051$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.13 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 5,001$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.14 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Inner Circle | 77c | 3,897$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.86 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Inner Circle | 76c | 3,431$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.67 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…e846backed FTS | 27c | 2,435$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked FTS | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75d…a961backed FTS | 27c | 1,939$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked FTS | 24c | 1,674$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Inner Circle | 77c | 1,569$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Inner Circle | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed FTS | 4c | 1,304$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked FTS | 25c | 1,285$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.15 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 1,267$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.47 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Inner Circle | 67c | 1,252$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked FTS | 29c | 1,251$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked FTS | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…00b6backed Inner Circle | 76c | 910.18$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed FTS | 21c | 872.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle | 69c | 856.54$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed FTS | 35c | 852.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…7f23backed Inner Circle | 78c | 799.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…c059backed Inner Circle | 79c | 777.53$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed FTS | 21c | 761.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed Inner Circle | 79c | 629.94$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Inner Circle | 79c | 541.34$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed FTS | 21c | 540.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Inner Circle | 78c | 516.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Inner Circle | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed FTS | 29c | 471.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked FTS | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FTS | 22c | 400$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed FTS | 10c | 390.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed FTS | 27c | 380$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed FTS | 13c | 360$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed FTS | 23c | 356.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Inner Circle | 72c | 344.49$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 335.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 328.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inner Circle | 72c | 326.79$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Inner Circle | 79c | 304.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Inner Circle | 79c | 294.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Inner Circle | 79c | 280$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked FTS | 10c | 272.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Inner Circle | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Inner Circle | 80c | 250.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed FTS | 11c | 245.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Inner Circle | 72c | 243.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Inner Circle | 79c | 232$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 79c | 224.37$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Inner Circle | 80c | 216.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…d815backed FTS | 23c | 209.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed FTS | 23c | 200.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 76c | 184.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked FTS | 19c | 177.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 77c | 175$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed FTS | 19c | 158.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Inner Circle | 78c | 154.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed FTS | 20c | 153$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Inner Circle | 80c | 150.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Inner Circle | 79c | 146.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…f44cbacked FTS | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cf…9ab4backed FTS | 29c | 138.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked Inner Circle | 77c | 129.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FTS | 22c | 127.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed FTS | 19c | 127.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed Inner Circle | 79c | 125.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Inner Circle | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked FTS | 22c | 124.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 122.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Inner Circle | 79c | 121.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked FTS | 26c | 120.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked FTS | 22c | 115.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 112.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…c4f0backed Inner Circle | 63c | 101.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Inner Circle | 65c | 100.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Inner Circle | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Inner Circle | 74c | 99.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed FTS | 21c | 89.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Inner Circle | 80c | 88.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FTS | 22c | 88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Inner Circle | 75c | 87.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FTS | 15c | 78.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…34fabacked FTS | 21c | 73.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FTS | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FTS | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Inner Circle | 77c | 54.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…6371backed Inner Circle | 75c | 53.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked FTS | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed FTS | 24c | 49.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…affdbacked FTS | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Inner Circle | 79c | 36.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Inner Circle | 72c | 30.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 76c | 29.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Inner Circle | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Inner Circle | 65c | 23.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Inner Circle | 69c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group AInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.