Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sanhui Shin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60a5211dee3deeadba56024e6cd9244e153f2b603b09104dd475d11482306b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthew Dellavedovaof Matthew Dellavedova, Sanhui Shin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7efe…2e32backed Matthew Dellavedova | 80c | 7,510$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sanhui Shin | 19c | 2,803$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.63 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Matthew Dellavedova | 70c | 1,547$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.03 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sanhui Shin | 38c | 1,095$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Matthew Dellavedova | 63c | 1,070$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.28 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sanhui Shin | 36c | 965.85$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.71 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matthew Dellavedova | 63c | 867.96$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 71c | 622.39$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Matthew Dellavedova | 64c | 608$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Sanhui Shin | 3c | 595.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Sanhui Shin | 36c | 504.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sanhui Shin | 37c | 490$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 71c | 423$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Sanhui Shin | 5c | 347.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sanhui Shin | 36c | 202.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sanhui Shin | 8c | 155.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sanhui Shin | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Matthew Dellavedova | 64c | 88.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 59c | 73.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Sanhui Shin | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Matthew Dellavedova | 64c | 65.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 82 | 82.9%68 W · 14 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Sanhui Shin | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sanhui Shin | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Matthew Dellavedova | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Sanhui Shin | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 70c | 35.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Matthew Dellavedova | 70c | 35.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Matthew Dellavedova | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…f73cbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 67c | 26.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sanhui Shin | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Matthew Dellavedova | 65c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.