Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bucharest: Radu David Turcanu vs Filippo Mazzola
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b3f1fc4d258b83aa1af91dd1c5990d15a4f12de68b9d7e9e43c89ea3fc327b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filippo Mazzolaof Radu David Turcanu, Filippo Mazzola
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Radu David Turcanu | 60c | 3,401$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.05 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Filippo Mazzola | 41c | 1,667$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Radu David Turcanu | 51c | 999.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.89 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Filippo Mazzola | 41c | 755.47$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.09 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Filippo Mazzola | 46c | 524.3$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Radu David Turcanu | 3c | 485$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Filippo Mazzola | 43c | 341$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.27 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Filippo Mazzola | 40c | 200.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Filippo Mazzola | 46c | 193$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Filippo Mazzola | 44c | 170.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Filippo Mazzola | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Filippo Mazzola | 49c | 115.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Filippo Mazzola | 38c | 104.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Filippo Mazzola | 64c | 98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Filippo Mazzola | 39c | 78.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Radu David Turcanu | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Radu David Turcanu | 27c | 69.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Filippo Mazzola | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Filippo Mazzola | 47c | 59.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Radu David Turcanu | 57c | 52.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Filippo Mazzola | 39c | 51.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Radu David Turcanu | 52c | 49.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Radu David Turcanu | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Filippo Mazzola | 39c | 44.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Filippo Mazzola | 42c | 30.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Radu David Turcanu | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Radu David Turcanu | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…f73cbacked Filippo Mazzola | 45c | 25.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Radu David Turcanu | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Filippo Mazzola | 67c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.