Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Junhan Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28384b2ce9d2d7e678c03b7d285cdc4d26668ecd77bffe9cada9b6479f84aaab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Junhan Zhangof Eva Marie Desvignes, Junhan Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Junhan Zhang | 56c | 6,692$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.85 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 47c | 2,639$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.83 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 44c | 768.92$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 40c | 745$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.54 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 34c | 523.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 29c | 464.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.79 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 41c | 300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 35c | 296.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 43c | 294.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 40c | 282.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 26c | 249.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Junhan Zhang | 67c | 162.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 33c | 139.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked Junhan Zhang | 71c | 108.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Junhan Zhang | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 35c | 74.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Junhan Zhang | 77c | 67.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 40c | 62.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Junhan Zhang | 54c | 60.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Junhan Zhang | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 30c | 56.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Junhan Zhang | 63c | 55.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 32c | 52.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Junhan Zhang | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Junhan Zhang | 68c | 43.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…dcfabacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Junhan Zhang | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…f73cbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 49c | 33.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Junhan Zhang | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Junhan Zhang | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Junhan Zhang | 70c | 27.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Junhan Zhang | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Junhan Zhang | 69c | 20.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Junhan Zhang | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Junhan Zhang | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Junhan Zhang | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Junhan Zhang | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Junhan Zhang | 69c | 17.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.