WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86491da3c857a1968f7a86b6f205ade06fd34b8d6ee021a06f8bfb22d6260f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 4,871$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.58 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 3,044$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.04 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,870$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.95 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 1,768$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.58 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked New York Liberty | 56c | 1,003$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed New York Liberty | 49c | 684.87$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.59 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed New York Liberty | 53c | 579.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed New York Liberty | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 445.9$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 325.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty | 52c | 220.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed New York Liberty | 51c | 216.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 191.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 125.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Liberty | 43c | 122.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed New York Liberty | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Liberty | 51c | 101$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed New York Liberty | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 77.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed New York Liberty | 47c | 76.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 49.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed New York Liberty | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 28.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 51c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Chicago Sky | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 21.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago Sky | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Chicago Sky | 68c | 18.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 181.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5Under won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.