WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290fabe63d24e1e3b13b134643e185c7ad04a021e3fafd59b92ce403eb2cba8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 2,738$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.46 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Over | 56c | 2,147$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Under | 55c | 1,327$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 54c | 1,148$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 1,059$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,055$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Under | 46c | 637.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 48c | 613.23$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 60c | 400.15$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 292.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 275.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 57c | 265.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 178$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 126.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 121$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 42c | 116.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 93.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…7698backed Under | 51c | 91.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 60c | 84.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 81.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 66.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 62.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 56c | 59.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 64c | 29.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 28.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 62c | 27.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 57c | 25.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 22.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 181.5Under won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.