WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984b2e55d1737c1c7de9469e509c01addc7a93c8b435459186e8f30d25b31716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 52c | 38,053$19,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,637.43 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 11,138$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.21 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 8,170$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.09 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 53c | 8,152$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.49 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 51c | 7,798$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.73 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 52c | 6,371$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.47 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 4,462$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.78 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.84 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 3,860$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.61 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 1,730$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.3 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,360$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.01 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.21 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,123$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.92 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 49c | 1,115$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.49 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 47c | 1,062$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.86 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 52c | 1,025$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.95 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 577.17$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.39 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 56c | 459.25$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.83 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 309.87$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 254.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 248$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked Under | 47c | 240.36$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 72c | 208.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 207.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…cc1ebacked Over | 48c | 206.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 192.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Over | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 7c | 167.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 119.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 106.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Over | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 99.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Over | 54c | 93.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Over | 67c | 89.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 77.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 48c | 71.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 49c | 60.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 54.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 76c | 45.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Under | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 48c | 28.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed Over | 76c | 27.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Over | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 71c | 25.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…07ddbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 62c | 23.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 54c | 18.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 181.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5Under won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.