WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e6e6f5e051227ed5f404d6e7e7ffe300e7cc4ead552873cb67a00fa59a818d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 49c | 15,927$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,868.12 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 5,496$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.71 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 5,491$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…7248backed Under | 46c | 3,696$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 3,348$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.6 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 52c | 3,174$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.52 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 3,043$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.07 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 2,588$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.48 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.18 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 55c | 1,228$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 48c | 824.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 675.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.75 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 50c | 564.65$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 38c | 477$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 56c | 456$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 56c | 403.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 361$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 335.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Under | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 276$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 253.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 241.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 57c | 220.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 200.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 200.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Over | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 171.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 147.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 39c | 139.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Over | 34c | 132.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 46c | 122.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 114.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 45c | 102.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 44c | 96.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 47c | 95.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 56c | 90.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 55c | 85.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 85.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…6576backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 79.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 55c | 55.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 52.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 51c | 52.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 67c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 63c | 42.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 35.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 47c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…f73fbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 37c | 30.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 51c | 29.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 53c | 28.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 25.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 52c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 181.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5Under won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.