Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Alexandre Muller vs Coleman Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bff9746375cf7322ddbac529a0d2f57fb228ad572732912e30afc97ff9764b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coleman Wongof Alexandre Muller, Coleman Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Alexandre Muller | 5c | 18,633$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Coleman Wong | 71c | 15,064$10,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.52 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandre Muller | 27c | 6,779$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.86 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Alexandre Muller | 5c | 3,250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alexandre Muller | 28c | 2,324$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.87 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alexandre Muller | 5c | 2,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandre Muller | 7c | 1,629$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Coleman Wong | 72c | 1,148$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.81 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Alexandre Muller | 6c | 1,117$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Alexandre Muller | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 22.5%31 W · 107 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Alexandre Muller | 4c | 624$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a9…63e6backed Alexandre Muller | 7c | 509.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexandre Muller | 7c | 502.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Coleman Wong | 65c | 460.03$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.01 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandre Muller | 29c | 381.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Coleman Wong | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Alexandre Muller | 28c | 361.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 587 | 57.8%339 W · 248 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Alexandre Muller | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alexandre Muller | 35c | 307.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alexandre Muller | 31c | 300.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alexandre Muller | 28c | 240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alexandre Muller | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alexandre Muller | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17f…cd73backed Alexandre Muller | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Coleman Wong | 68c | 184$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alexandre Muller | 26c | 174.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Alexandre Muller | 29c | 149.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alexandre Muller | 31c | 116$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Coleman Wong | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Coleman Wong | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Alexandre Muller | 32c | 95.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Coleman Wong | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Coleman Wong | 58c | 82.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Alexandre Muller | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 50.6%158 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Coleman Wong | 71c | 71.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Alexandre Muller | 31c | 68.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Coleman Wong | 60c | 57.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexandre Muller | 27c | 53.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…f3f8backed Alexandre Muller | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexandre Muller | 29c | 45.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Alexandre Muller | 29c | 42.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Alexandre Muller | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Coleman Wong | 73c | 38.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Coleman Wong | 76c | 38.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Coleman Wong | 69c | 35.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Coleman Wong | 70c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Coleman Wong | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 133 | 66.9%89 W · 44 L | +16.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Coleman Wong | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alexandre Muller | 41c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Coleman Wong | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…50cfbacked Coleman Wong | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Coleman Wong | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Coleman Wong | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Coleman Wong | 71c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed Coleman Wong | 71c | 23.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Coleman Wong | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 330 | 59.1%195 W · 135 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Coleman Wong | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Coleman Wong | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Coleman Wong | 70c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779f…c097backed Coleman Wong | 78c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…0a8bbacked Coleman Wong | 56c | 18.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.