WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 191.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd5431d3f0a9dfb0ea1e3781354293b502713207cecc8bc378883fefbdad9d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 11,598$5,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.61 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 6,474$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.62 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 47c | 4,275$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.49 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 4,231$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.54 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 3,848$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 66c | 3,421$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.08 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 3,094$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.98 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 2,687$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.57 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 2,324$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.25 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 2,175$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.96 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 54c | 2,060$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.88 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 51c | 1,913$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Under | 53c | 1,792$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 53c | 1,500$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Over | 49c | 1,433$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 1,031$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.97 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 991$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 47c | 750.53$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.53 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 55c | 716.11$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 54c | 680$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 459$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 54c | 429.42$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 421$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 315.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.66 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 48c | 301.4$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 52c | 298.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 276$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 40c | 186$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 49c | 178.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Under | 52c | 146.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 46c | 109.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 106.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…d737backed Under | 47c | 96.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 95.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 53c | 75.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Over | 79c | 59.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 59.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 57.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Under | 60c | 47.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 45c | 43.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 37c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 46c | 35.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 56c | 35.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 35.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 35.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…a393backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 52c | 25.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9ba2backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 43c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 55c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed Over | 74c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…ffb2backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 191.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto TempoIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 190.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 192.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.