TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof Indiana Fever, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Indiana Fever49c22,129$10,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,843.379245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Tempo51c16,170$8,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,896.0926953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Indiana Fever54c5,649$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.215050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Indiana Fever49c5,000$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.997950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo53c4,438$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.341,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Indiana Fever49c3,897$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.483857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Tempo51c2,760$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.428647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Toronto Tempo51c2,696$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.083542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo51c2,280$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.8489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever59c1,912$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12937141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Toronto Tempo50c1,814$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.841963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Indiana Fever54c1,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.73231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever53c1,460$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.2299548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cf…99a6backed Indiana Fever49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Tempo51c1,173$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.7736154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo47c1,139$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9264152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo40c1,106$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.061,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Indiana Fever2c1,030$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick11cpaid-36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Toronto Tempo51c1,025$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.313538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo51c960$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.440550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Toronto Tempo53c944.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.32339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9f…5e45backed Toronto Tempo51c865.88$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.284100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Toronto Tempo46c758.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.084443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Toronto Tempo31c699.97$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.983948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo40c690.11$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.0155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Toronto Tempo48c623.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.663959%23 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaad1…172ebacked Indiana Fever49c542.86$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Indiana Fever54c535.41$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4332150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo49c532.68$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Toronto Tempo50c525$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.56154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo40c501.8$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Toronto Tempo51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2455554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Toronto Tempo51c440.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06fa…d071backed Toronto Tempo47c417.09$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.421457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Tempo50c375.85$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9313048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Toronto Tempo51c333.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3313348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Indiana Fever60c327.32$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7813256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo51c278.46$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2932540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever47c275$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2507…d5f2backed Indiana Fever45c222.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Toronto Tempo46c218.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Indiana Fever50c211$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.513024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef32…7698backed Toronto Tempo48c192.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.055100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Indiana Fever22c189.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4234918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Indiana Fever60c188$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.811353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Toronto Tempo51c156.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7217343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indiana Fever48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7238744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Tempo48c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.530649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Indiana Fever50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Toronto Tempo33c127.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.385446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo49c122.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Toronto Tempo54c109.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7512045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24b…c981backed Indiana Fever50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Indiana Fever50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever48c98.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6237650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Toronto Tempo51c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.552958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Tempo47c94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8231448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee2…6527backed Indiana Fever50c69.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Indiana Fever48c69.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2815451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Indiana Fever44c69.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.624546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo41c67.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8112661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Indiana Fever49c64.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.923746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Toronto Tempo47c56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6823955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Toronto Tempo51c53.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.288549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d0…c89bbacked Toronto Tempo47c53.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.392343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Toronto Tempo38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Toronto Tempo46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2736454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Indiana Fever48c46.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4141145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Toronto Tempo47c40.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.419345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c7…4338backed Toronto Tempo51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Toronto Tempo51c35.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1613850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Toronto Tempo46c32.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.496530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Indiana Fever66c32.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.215453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Toronto Tempo42c32.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8313355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Toronto Tempo51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.418138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Toronto Tempo47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.258457.1%48 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.537850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Indiana Fever50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Indiana Fever44c23.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3518850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Toronto Tempo51c23.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.413756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x917a…6b57backed Indiana Fever67c20.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.