WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635c393edc2730f98693e652207ea1d6577ac01eaa03620b8c490d8f02c57214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 4,620$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 3,097$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.29 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 37c | 1,510$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.59 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,439$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.26 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 37c | 797.53$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 649.81$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 500.71$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 43c | 275.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 264.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 68c | 220.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 196.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 58c | 183.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 43c | 169$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 42c | 150.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 57c | 138$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Under | 75c | 132.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 67c | 109.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 46c | 99.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Under | 45c | 89.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Under | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 74.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 67c | 72.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 37c | 70.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 52c | 65.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 53c | 63.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 42c | 58.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 54c | 54.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Under | 66c | 50.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 49c | 40.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 32.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 40c | 31.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Under | 50c | 22.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4f…7530backed Under | 58c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto TempoIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 190.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 191.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 192.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.