WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 190.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65355f25609a9d67d8051db670eb9b0360a7ec9046b68162fbc80a7cff1c2fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 17,364$8,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,789.01 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 49c | 14,741$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,569.87 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 59c | 11,153$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.58 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 7,390$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.31 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 48c | 5,572$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.41 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 4,500$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.49 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 3,121$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.52 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 2,468$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.24 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 2,409$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.69 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 1,983$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.53 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 42c | 1,973$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.05 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.01 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 1,539$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Over | 49c | 1,153$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 51c | 1,075$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 1,045$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 48c | 1,026$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.61 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Over | 50c | 992.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 48c | 971.34$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.1 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 921$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.43 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 49c | 820.93$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.67 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Over | 76c | 660.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 356$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 45c | 301.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 294.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Over | 49c | 242.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 236.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 221.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 34c | 189$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 51c | 176$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 155.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Over | 50c | 147.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 32c | 123.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 118.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 40c | 112.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 49c | 103.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…c981backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 53c | 90.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 34c | 89.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…6576backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 47c | 77.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 71.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 70.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 32c | 68.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 35c | 67.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 57.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 53c | 48.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 34.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Under | 53c | 34.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 51c | 33.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Under | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 49c | 29.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 25.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Under | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 68c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 190.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto TempoIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 191.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 192.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.