Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe483dacac7134cec3881f2cf3b6c22727cab88d3cfd253a344d956129165e42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 65c | 772.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.29 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 45c | 760.37$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.68 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 28c | 549.81$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 52c | 337.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 5c | 290.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 47c | 247.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 68c | 245.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 24c | 235.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 228.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…541dbacked Yes | 68c | 222.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 210.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…32f6backed No | 41c | 175.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 29c | 174.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 68c | 165.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…cc5abacked Yes | 61c | 164.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 43c | 145.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 72c | 126.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…8f13backed Yes | 67c | 120.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 37c | 106.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 101.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 31c | 93.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 24c | 90.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 44c | 86.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 18c | 85.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 37c | 84.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 44c | 83.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked No | 24c | 77.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 40c | 64.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 62.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 79c | 59.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 50c | 58.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 32c | 52.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 65c | 51.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 50.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 23c | 48.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 55c | 47.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 29c | 46.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…1211backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 39.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 39.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes | 68c | 36.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 52c | 36.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…e45bbacked No | 40c | 32.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 47c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 70c | 31.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 71c | 31.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…78ebbacked Yes | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 41c | 29.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…b963backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…fc8bbacked Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…9a6dbacked Yes | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 39c | 27.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 40c | 27.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 79c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 46c | 24.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed No | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed Yes | 63c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 62c | 22.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 72c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 154 | 66.9%103 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 64c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…224ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 67c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes | 72c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…aac1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.