Other European Leagues · resolved market
AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2abe7e9e6dbb0a143446760a614212dfe3db961bc0fc55a23debf14801ca280a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Over | 49c | 105,236$51,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,670.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 49,946$25,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,467.21 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 51c | 30,655$15,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,633.81 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 5,246$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 5,025$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.63 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 51c | 3,838$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.36 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 51c | 916.02$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.17 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 774.93$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 705.08$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.45 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 63c | 664.29$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 34c | 555.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 59c | 471.01$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 47c | 434.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 386.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 52c | 384.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.71 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 40c | 346$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 255.06$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 49c | 242.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 51c | 198.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 51c | 180.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 51c | 156.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 57c | 150.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 148.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 63c | 109.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 51c | 102.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 55c | 85.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed Under | 56c | 83.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 51c | 83.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 41c | 80.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 77.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…af6bbacked Over | 45c | 75.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 51c | 75.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 71.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 51c | 68.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 52c | 64.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 62.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 52c | 57.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 49.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under | 51c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 51c | 39.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 78c | 38.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…92d6backed Over | 39c | 36.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 51c | 32.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 31.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 29.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 29.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 43c | 28.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 28.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…7f53backed Over | 50c | 27.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…b90bbacked Under | 52c | 27.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 50c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed Under | 51c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Over | 63c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 59c | 20.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 66c | 19.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5this page
- AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Horsens (-1.5)Lyngby BK won
- Spread: AC Horsens (-2.5)Lyngby BK won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-1.5)AC Horsens won
- Spread: Lyngby BK (-2.5)AC Horsens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.