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Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,769 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x482a…c85dbacked Under7c2,173$150 inLost-$1503938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under11c2,035$219 inLost-$219.352,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under30c663.29$199 inLost-$198.998263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c597.69$422 inWon+$175.286,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under29c432.72$125 inLost-$125.4979842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c385.4$109 inLost-$108.581,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over70c233.5$163 inWon+$70.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over70c160.11$112 inWon+$48.031,27850.2%642 W · 636 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over74c153.26$113 inWon+$39.852166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under14c139.27$20 inLost-$19.9870852.4%371 W · 337 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under28c90$25 inLost-$25.259046.6%275 W · 315 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under29c79.94$24 inLost-$23.56636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon+$20.428078.8%63 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under29c50.67$15 inLost-$14.5813543%58 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Over71c46.48$33 inWon+$13.482740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over72c45.27$33 inWon+$12.62475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6c…116fbacked Over71c43.31$31 inWon+$12.561070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over71c42$30 inWon+$12.011,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over70c30$21 inWon+$95865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over80c20$16 inWon+$42,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf39…7032backed Over71c15.85$11 inWon+$4.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfda7…d488backed Over75c15$11 inWon+$3.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over71c14.89$11 inWon+$4.324178%32 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.