Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc61fa5cc2144cf039b4c952437b7c218115c23f6558a5c1cfe292949fb2a4c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 48c | 7,423$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.34 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Under | 54c | 2,271$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 46c | 1,997$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.41 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 45c | 1,970$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.81 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 55c | 1,774$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.94 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Over | 51c | 1,757$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 1,709$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.27 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 1,445$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.38 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 1,262$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.72 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,109$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.57 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,107$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Over | 54c | 1,017$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 910.76$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.1 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 885.57$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.25 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Under | 63c | 793.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 54c | 740.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 729.57$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.05 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 590.62$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.59 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 379.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 47c | 373.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 54c | 309.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 38c | 288.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.43 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 281$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 270.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 70c | 265.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 46c | 250.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 219.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 51c | 144.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 48c | 119.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 39c | 111.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 48c | 106.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 69c | 100.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 77.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 76.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 76.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 50c | 74.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 53c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 67.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a6…ef29backed Under | 55c | 59.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 47c | 59.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Under | 54c | 54.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…580abacked Over | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Over | 49c | 49.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 67c | 36.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 34.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 65c | 34.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 33.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 87 | 6.9%6 W · 81 L | -21.4wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 52c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 24.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Under | 50c | 22.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f3…f168backed Over | 65c | 22.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 59c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 67c | 19.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 68c | 18.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.