Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff769caf1ae28fab43622dba904ec9e726f6fd1da2c886240d4030f4e85de46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Hainiu FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 1,332$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.11 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 57c | 1,057$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.03 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 827.23$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.43 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 53c | 577.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.39 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 54c | 536.24$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.51 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 417.72$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 51c | 325.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 54c | 320.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 239.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…a9e0backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 174.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 162.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 54c | 149.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 41c | 124.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 101.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 49c | 99.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 54c | 95.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 88.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 78.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 37c | 51.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 48c | 48.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 69c | 47.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 48c | 47.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 53c | 41.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 34.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 57c | 24.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 48c | 20.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…d312backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.