TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes65c65,054$42,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,656.3518352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No36c12,550$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.015358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No37c10,153$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6004768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes77c7,453$5,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.262,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No9c7,437$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.423,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c6,994$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.681,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c6,762$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.28,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No34c4,297$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.0512755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No35c3,382$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.1834747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No28c3,152$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.0125635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes75c3,023$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.321,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No2c2,841$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes64c2,708$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.195,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c2,574$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.821,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No35c2,310$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.961,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No2c2,251$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.43920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No35c2,164$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.711,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked No36c2,053$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c1,628$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.263,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes63c1,586$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8231039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No1c1,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No26c1,452$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5936339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No3c1,402$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8921938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No25c1,293$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes67c1,088$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3345253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes69c1,027$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0813049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No31c1,004$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.712740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c1,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36021366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No34c993.85$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.914136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No23c930$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No36c825.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No4c771.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.186526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8337…29b6backed No37c675.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c556.05$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7427855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No34c504.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.852433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes64c496.78$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.321,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked No35c491.01$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.471464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No27c446.68$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8712737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No18c420.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes64c391.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.446759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No33c353$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.048930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No36c308$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.887445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c296$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.521,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes63c296$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.522,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes64c290.42$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5518247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes63c281.12$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes64c281$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.542,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No35c263.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.116751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Yes65c251.17$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c227.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.231,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No37c163.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes63c162.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No31c156.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1542462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked No37c144.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed No36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No35c138.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.619860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked No36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No33c135.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.778855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No37c134.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No35c124.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6510158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No31c112$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes63c110.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8524535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No36c105.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1623044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No35c99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No34c97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.421,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No39c95.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No36c92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.826749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No32c87.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4818050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6728…a070backed No36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes63c79.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68c…f805backed Yes67c72.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed No32c69.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.117350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes65c61.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.614254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No35c57.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9519349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No31c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No36c55.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7463061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c1…6790backed No36c53.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes63c51.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9716449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes65c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No34c49.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6914943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No38c47.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes64c46.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.694658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Yes65c45.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No38c42.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No34c42.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3219437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No35c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.798851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes64c40.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5314149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed No37c39.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.722157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes61c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8632139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No33c37.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.