South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe48a17eb78db62c777b26a93defe9de685f91b3d1c1edb7eda70be8f800fdb58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 16c | 34,958$5,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,716.44 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 17c | 11,515$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.63 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 16c | 10,042$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.34 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 15c | 5,315$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.64 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 2,810$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.24 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 18c | 2,318$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.57 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 2,258$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 2,179$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.93 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 18c | 2,174$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.34 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,134$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 13c | 2,063$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 2,038$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.07 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 14c | 2,009$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 18c | 1,621$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 1,242$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.55 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 15c | 1,214$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 16c | 1,043$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 905.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 15c | 870.13$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 18c | 499$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 461$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 17c | 445.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 16c | 338.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 15c | 301.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 15c | 279.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…2ff2backed Yes | 17c | 230$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 203.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 14c | 168.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…e751backed Yes | 17c | 141.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes | 16c | 127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 15c | 110.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 96.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 14c | 88.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…00d7backed Yes | 17c | 69.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 68.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7a…971abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…be8cbacked Yes | 18c | 54.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…5a19backed Yes | 19c | 51.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.