TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over50c104,999$52,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,112.521,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over49c84,116$40,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,966.8746949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c34,731$18,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,675.8310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c28,495$14,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,967.6911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under50c26,047$13,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,023.5271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under50c20,689$10,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,339.3386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under52c20,219$10,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,805.713,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under50c20,084$10,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,967.611,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under51c7,738$3,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.5777647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under51c6,002$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.9645445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under51c6,000$3,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95545252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under50c4,100$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03045748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c3,625$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.485,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c2,737$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.948,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under49c1,306$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.348,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under50c1,302$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.1828751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under50c1,133$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5627448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under51c969.89$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.5965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c861.75$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.788,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under51c798$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.021,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c753.01$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.972,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under53c682.58$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.941,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c640.88$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under51c446.67$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.1758352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over37c432.61$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.431,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Over47c432$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0415340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under51c408.16$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0456253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over53c376.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.512,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under51c274.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6622050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c268.4$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.572,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under52c243.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.447852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under50c208.38$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1938551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Under54c185.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.183751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c178.68$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.981,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under53c146.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.784,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c136.4$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.248339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under51c128$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3612752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under51c117.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.058142%34 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over43c108.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.261,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Under50c107.87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2217160.8%104 W · 67 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e9…7302backed Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Under50c78.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.075858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec80…7298backed Over56c71.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under51c62.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9211550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…3273backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Under51c57.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.986100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under51c56.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c52.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.654,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.026261.3%38 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15cc…bfaabacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under50c35.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.859755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Under54c35.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4810052%52 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under50c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e6…b490backed Under51c32.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over50c30.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3258649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.710452.9%55 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over42c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.472,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under63c29.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.813,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over50c26.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf39…7032backed Under51c23.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under51c22.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9628948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under51c21.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.776048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8379…3c91backed Under68c21.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under50c20.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.465759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under51c20.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3430554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under51c20.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.893141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under73c20.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3979955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.939053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.