TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Over18c95,244$17,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,143.932166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c13,633$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.3584342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over55c8,077$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c5,569$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.462,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c5,540$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.292,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Over60c4,654$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7882661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c3,411$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.955,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Over56c3,084$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over14c2,752$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4390544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c2,437$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.2218353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over28c2,108$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.445543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c2,077$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.9776239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under43c1,744$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.530731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over54c1,251$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.4517742.4%75 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.993855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c736$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c736$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.31,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31817247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c540.56$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.321,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.534445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over59c354.37$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.082548%12 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under47c319.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16338849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Over54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Under46c296.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over5c293.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over14c282.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.431,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Under43c264.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.546833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c255.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0842451.2%217 W · 207 L+2.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Over20c242.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.952544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under43c232.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.553619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under45c227.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.834650%23 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under70c222.5$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.78056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c9…ccbabacked Under46c217.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11539649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under53c179.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.231931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over61c163.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006055%33 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2854746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over20c147.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c141.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042725.8%110 W · 317 L-34.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under46c137.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5216929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Over35c134.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.032544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under40c133$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.810525.7%27 W · 78 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over59c132.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.34351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over40c127.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under45c109.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Under43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under41c98.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.414348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Under46c87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.983237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over59c76.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.229851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee0…4078backed Under80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15475%3 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick79cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over29c69.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.022860.7%17 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+56.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over21c66.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c60.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.651,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under45c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under42c47.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.326437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under46c44.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0421552.1%112 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under46c44.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.789944.4%44 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2827…4ee7backed Over47c42.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c1…dc25backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under55c38.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4932060%192 W · 128 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over57c35.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.464740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Over56c35.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under44c30.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.258859.1%52 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…fe8dbacked Under42c27.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Under41c26.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…79b1backed Under43c25.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.291656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under46c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.045238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.29227.2%25 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.