TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over46c29,880$13,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,083.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c20,433$10,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,107.2282542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c19,892$9,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,709.985,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c14,891$7,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,543.6234447.4%163 W · 181 L+1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c13,496$7,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,120.821,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c8,483$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.3612139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c6,256$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.352,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under57c5,327$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.567855.1%43 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over54c5,191$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.2187645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…3574backed Over53c3,463$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Under76c3,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2801145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1751450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9918253.3%97 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under50c1,900$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.662544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c1,833$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.582,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under54c1,784$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under18c1,151$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2228532.3%92 W · 193 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.47149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under55c654.96$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1311631%36 W · 80 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Under46c619.15$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.162544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c358$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2917361.3%106 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c334.44$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2331359.7%187 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over44c303.7$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.0714429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Under63c269.5$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe072…54a0backed Under77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under54c256.52$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.254961.2%30 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c255.42$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.361,35445.4%615 W · 739 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under19c233.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over65c232.62$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over48c193.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under52c183.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under48c173.81$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.432347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under24c153.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0616929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under54c149.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under22c148.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.574452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under58c132.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5322548%108 W · 117 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under48c122.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.121656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under52c115.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1938749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+114.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522458.3%14 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+88%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x628e…b3debacked Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over45c99.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.994247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under52c96.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under21c89.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4553946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over46c87.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.663237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over53c77.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.364062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over57c69.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8242425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c65.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over79c65.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.667546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over80c65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36592.3%60 W · 5 L+17.6wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+44.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under63c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under53c62.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.626953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under26c61.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.922638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under42c59.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over26c57.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4576255.9%426 W · 336 L+38.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over76c53.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.59146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd220…e303backed Over67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcce…6f2abacked Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Under41c48.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under37c46.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9292235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over57c45.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ee…31e6backed Over33c33.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c1…dc25backed Over73c31.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under56c31.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6226147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under54c28.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2216659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over49c27.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.033865.8%25 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over47c25.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.748736.8%32 W · 55 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under51c20.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.357867.9%53 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.