Asian League · resolved market
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace2dc2d76702698ebe1b60a2ae2d5818c081506db2baa50716e638d19bc4043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Tōkyōof FC Tōkyō, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 61c | 100,545$61,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,326.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 80,701$31,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,177.48 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Tōkyō | 24c | 7,657$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.74 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC Tōkyō | 40c | 5,449$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.63 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 4,578$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.88 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Tōkyō | 35c | 4,424$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.53 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 1,428$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked FC Tōkyō | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 62c | 1,076$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.1 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked FC Tōkyō | 37c | 625$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 31c | 459.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed FC Tōkyō | 40c | 458.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 60c | 378$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 61c | 278.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 63c | 238.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 218.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 197.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 174.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed FC Tōkyō | 40c | 173.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 61c | 169.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 61c | 159.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 157.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked FC Tōkyō | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 152.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 64c | 147.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked FC Tōkyō | 36c | 138$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 62c | 129.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked FC Tōkyō | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 123.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 104$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 12c | 103.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked FC Tōkyō | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed FC Tōkyō | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Tōkyō | 38c | 80.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 70c | 77.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked FC Tōkyō | 29c | 69.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed FC Tōkyō | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked FC Tōkyō | 39c | 58.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed FC Tōkyō | 43c | 55.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked FC Tōkyō | 66c | 54.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…c529backed FC Tōkyō | 38c | 52.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked FC Tōkyō | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 62c | 47.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 67c | 43.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 320 | 60%192 W · 128 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 49c | 34.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed FC Tōkyō | 39c | 32.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked FC Tōkyō | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked FC Tōkyō | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 61c | 29.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FC Tōkyō | 64c | 28.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)this page
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: FC Tōkyō 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: FC Tōkyō O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: FC Tōkyō O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: JEF United Ichihara Chiba O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: JEF United Ichihara Chiba O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Tōkyō (-2.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)FC Tōkyō won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.