TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,176 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x62f0…0171backed Over71c1,036$740 inWon+$296.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under16c1,000$163 inLost-$163812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under7c999.99$67 inLost-$67.2511631%36 W · 80 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c828.66$237 inLost-$236.972,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under14c623.47$88 inLost-$87.9882542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over74c500$370 inWon+$1301675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c473.5$89 inLost-$88.575,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under5c387.41$18 inLost-$18.3228532.3%92 W · 193 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c199.99$140 inWon+$6016250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Over66c153.73$101 inWon+$52.734062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under38c131.14$50 inLost-$502661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Over70c102.44$72 inWon+$30.6411100%11 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under29c50$14 inLost-$14.4592235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under24c48.3$12 inLost-$11.6334447.4%163 W · 181 L+1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b3…3783backed Under30c44.84$13 inLost-$13.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Over63c31.5$20 inWon+$11.52176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over78c27.68$22 inWon+$6.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over77c15$12 inWon+$3.4627251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over77c15$12 inWon+$3.4613861.6%85 W · 53 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over77c15$12 inWon+$3.4626147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over73c15$11 inWon+$4.056657.6%38 W · 28 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.