MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b22237a10dc074ddb43b6b0f408465f3765f05d97c856a70df4ff1da7722c01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Chicago Cubs, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 60,030$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,569.6 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 37,769$19,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,506.79 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 25,530$16,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544.08 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 21,330$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 21,000$13,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950.62 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 16,629$12,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.25 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 14,734$10,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 12,125$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 32c | 11,413$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 10,124$6,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.84 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 9,784$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 9,247$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.34 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 8,162$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 8,000$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.99 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 7,929$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…ac58backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 7,738$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 6,791$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.28 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 6,562$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 5,259$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 4,554$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 4,250$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,013$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.22 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,924$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.74 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 2,750$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Chicago Cubs | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 2,358$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 2,310$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.59 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,137$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.08 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,857$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.22 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,810$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,745$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.3 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,597$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.13 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Chicago Cubs | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,440$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 1,386$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,386$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.87 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,307$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Chicago Cubs | 21c | 1,307$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.28 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,236$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.14 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 1,215$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.94 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…5ef0backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,055$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…5f21backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 1,053$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,025$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.73 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21d2backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.61 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 988.06$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.26 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 975$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 935.54$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 864.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 750$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 748.55$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 696.32$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 681$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 619.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 563.81$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 557.36$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.68 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 549.91$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 547.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.25 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…7279backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 537.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 511.87$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 505.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 504.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 487.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 456.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 414.89$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 408$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 406$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 397$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 392.31$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 392.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 389.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 382.74$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 350$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 337.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 332.86$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 319.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 309.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…82aabacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.