Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493f9ae5bb3a5a0ea1e634393f66f9e9e12ea8097be0266d50d090258fc7e6f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 6,466$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.31 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,752$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 47c | 1,872$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Over | 48c | 1,671$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 53c | 1,568$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.96 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,188$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.21 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 1,173$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.07 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 44c | 597.93$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.09 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 486.4$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 482$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 474.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.06 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 319.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 309.56$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 70c | 269$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 53c | 245.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 154.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 133.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Under | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 87.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 47c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 45c | 59.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 54.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 40c | 52.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 40c | 47.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…561dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 65c | 34.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 49c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Over | 46c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Under | 57c | 20.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 65c | 19.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 65c | 18.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: Vissel Kōbe O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.