TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,789

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,798 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes53c9,959$5,242 inLost-$5,241.871,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c5,124$2,409 inWon+$2,715.391,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c1,957$1,093 inWon+$863.985,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes43c1,372$590 inLost-$590.0428532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c1,094$523 inWon+$570.722,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,000$480 inWon+$5201,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c964.38$455 inWon+$509.021,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No47c788$374 inWon+$413.7429432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c600$282 inWon+$3186341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes53c302.65$160 inLost-$160.4174739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No47c214.13$101 inWon+$113.496845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost-$1002878.6%22 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.28per pick51cpaid+54.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No48c104$50 inWon+$54.081,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c104$50 inWon+$54.081,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No48c99.89$48 inWon+$52.1453946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes54c90.86$49 inLost-$49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes14c79.99$11 inLost-$11.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes50c74$37 inLost-$3715160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c56.95$28 inWon+$29.041,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No49c51$25 inWon+$26.0117058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No48c41$20 inWon+$21.51,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes37c37$14 inLost-$13.6928251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c37$14 inLost-$13.6927148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes37c37$14 inLost-$13.6923347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed No50c20.08$10 inWon+$10.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.