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Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof Team WE, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,453 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6401…f240backed Team WE25c11,652$2,913 inLost-$2,91339448%189 W · 205 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked LGD Gaming75c5,596$4,199 inWon+$1,397.3334351.3%176 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LGD Gaming74c5,119$3,778 inWon+$1,340.9374541.1%306 W · 439 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd0f…3656backed LGD Gaming70c1,762$1,233 inWon+$528.653661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team WE30c1,092$328 inLost-$327.5830637.6%115 W · 191 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed LGD Gaming69c903.97$624 inWon+$280.2365751.6%339 W · 318 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed LGD Gaming75c862.36$647 inWon+$215.591,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Team WE31c664.52$206 inLost-$20619747.7%94 W · 103 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Team WE32c625$200 inLost-$20040240.5%163 W · 239 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked LGD Gaming68c625$425 inWon+$20031444.3%139 W · 175 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed LGD Gaming69c622.97$430 inWon+$193.3525642.2%108 W · 148 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked LGD Gaming68c595$405 inWon+$190.467743.9%297 W · 380 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team WE30c500$150 inLost-$15049847.8%238 W · 260 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked LGD Gaming69c476.16$329 inWon+$147.6199149.1%487 W · 504 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed LGD Gaming68c399.99$272 inWon+$12851954.9%285 W · 234 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team WE31c396.9$125 inLost-$124.623,06644.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L-97.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Team WE32c360.46$115 inLost-$115.55959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team WE32c309.31$99 inLost-$98.981,41244.8%633 W · 779 L-15.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team WE31c304.21$94 inLost-$93.871,20644.7%539 W · 667 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team WE28c289.99$82 inLost-$82.42,26137.3%843 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Team WE31c244.45$76 inLost-$75.7827441.2%113 W · 161 L-0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LGD Gaming68c154.5$105 inWon+$49.462,20253.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team WE32c125$40 inLost-$4082742.9%355 W · 472 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team WE38c120.63$46 inLost-$45.671,04254.8%571 W · 471 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed Team WE32c100$32 inLost-$3219850.5%100 W · 98 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd8e…568abacked Team WE26c88.81$23 inLost-$23.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team WE33c83$27 inLost-$27.3959134.2%202 W · 389 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Team WE32c79.99$26 inLost-$25.627549.8%137 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed LGD Gaming68c57.63$39 inWon+$18.311,21339.6%480 W · 733 L-44.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc919…70a2backed Team WE26c51.87$13 inLost-$13.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-71.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Team WE59c48.99$29 inLost-$291233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team WE30c47.47$14 inLost-$14.4623948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Team WE32c46.37$15 inLost-$1523829.8%71 W · 167 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked LGD Gaming71c45.31$32 inWon+$13.0722865.8%150 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked LGD Gaming65c32.97$21 inWon+$11.4735250.3%177 W · 175 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked LGD Gaming67c25$17 inWon+$8.2523663.6%150 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…a007backed LGD Gaming70c21.43$15 inWon+$6.437558.7%44 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7ff…a74cbacked LGD Gaming69c20$14 inWon+$6.218251.6%94 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.