WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4132efafa9bade53a95c5274a5351abb652cdd0285470b7d728abeb05bae24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7953…d5e5backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 7,449$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 5,858$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 65c | 4,401$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.7 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 3,387$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.01 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 29c | 2,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,366$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.63 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 1,612$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.23 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,293$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.53 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 1,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 5c | 871.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 690$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 604$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.53 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 585.79$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…ecd3backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 389.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 40c | 199.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 191.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 140.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 137.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 118.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 109.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 94.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 75.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 65.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Golden State Valkyries | 30c | 63.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 58.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…1604backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Golden State Valkyries | 33c | 53.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…a8dcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 42.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…0e71backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Minnesota Lynx | 61c | 39.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…561dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 38.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…6198backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 32.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 28.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 28.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Minnesota Lynx | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 24.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Minnesota Lynx | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.