WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93e6bbfd5a506329557b7f9b557755d22e92ed20060ab37d352f6fbda89b0d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 49c | 61,830$30,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,310.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 39,944$20,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,371.28 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 9,190$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.14 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 52c | 7,648$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 50c | 6,549$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.29 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 3,668$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.31 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 3,640$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.88 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Over | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 48c | 1,048$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.75 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 1,044$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.43 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 991.77$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 853.73$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 52c | 786.61$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.26 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 702.73$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.47 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 48c | 688$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 493.53$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Over | 15c | 474.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 49c | 315.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked Under | 47c | 236.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Over | 46c | 218.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 49c | 200.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…219fbacked Over | 51c | 195.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Over | 52c | 152.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 99.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…64d7backed Over | 39c | 56.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 51.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 50c | 47.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 48c | 44.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Under | 50c | 40.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 48c | 38.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 35.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…ff90backed Over | 34c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 30.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 49c | 23.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 49c | 22.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.