TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over46c56,971$26,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,206.548937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under54c53,097$28,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,424.6938645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over48c41,775$19,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,991.41811.1%2 W · 16 L-6.5wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-78.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,2003740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under52c39,175$20,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,803.921747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c10,182$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.5546247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c7,446$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.5436154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under54c6,341$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.8626953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.987549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under53c4,422$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.1313048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over49c3,943$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.099036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c3,266$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.871,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Under54c2,420$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.693360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c2,407$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.6189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under51c2,276$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.152759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fd…442fbacked Over47c2,188$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.998551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9809650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over47c1,844$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.542948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98f9…5cd9backed Over5c1,740$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.481338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c1,584$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.2640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7053647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under52c1,339$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.3328647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c1,223$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.2741145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over46c1,093$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over48c1,080$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1923746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c1,029$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.461,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over49c1,017$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under69c885.7$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9832150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under77c862.68$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.467431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Over38c830.72$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.713959%23 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c803.07$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3864152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under51c690.58$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3819446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c601$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4874942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over46c567.34$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6337141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under53c517.67$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under52c517$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.161650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Over33c507.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.443748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+50.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over48c497.27$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9132750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Under53c462.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.591546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under61c389.35$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.351464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under55c389.12$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.651650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under72c349.2$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9441147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Under51c335.15$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.573351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under61c333$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8724852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Under53c307.21$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over48c271.75$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.444454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c260$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1217946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over45c255.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1992248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…6872backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003933.3%13 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946050%30 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcb…a745backed Over49c198.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under51c176.12$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.313850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under52c150.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0134448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over48c138$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2430734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over47c130.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.517241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ded…c0b1backed Over38c130.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over48c103$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.445839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…88ecbacked Over50c100.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4439947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under56c96.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.025446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Under51c94.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.122462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under60c93.6$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.443026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a2b…4b88backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over47c66.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3617343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2737650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.464850%24 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8278548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.329430.9%29 W · 65 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbe3…6599backed Under53c53.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.061361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7340…f73fbacked Over49c53.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under53c45.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.554542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.885945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc2…c69abacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd47…61e3backed Over52c38.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under53c37.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7311242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5110050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under53c31.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.939345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Under70c24.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.382445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c24.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8923644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under53c21.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.16053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.