WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96941b7b780b65547839278e48aca9acc1716726c05a0c8f7da028c1872f4742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 48c | 56,975$27,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,494.44 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 9,641$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.9 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 6,096$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.81 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 6,072$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.64 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 52c | 4,038$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.09 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 52c | 3,943$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.64 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 2,671$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.95 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 2,468$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.2 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 52c | 1,881$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.22 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Under | 53c | 1,751$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 1,675$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.54 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Under | 52c | 1,065$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 55c | 1,023$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.35 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 960.43$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.74 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 899.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.49 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Over | 45c | 742.22$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 55c | 661.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.43 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked Under | 55c | 625$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 44c | 616.8$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.39 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 45c | 442$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Under | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 399.35$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 54c | 373.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.21 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 327.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 52c | 318$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 206.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 201.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Over | 50c | 199.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Under | 54c | 153.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 150.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…4f05backed Under | 56c | 135.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 127.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 45c | 125.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 97.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 51c | 80.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 52c | 76.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 70.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 45c | 62.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 52c | 50.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 61c | 50.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 41.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Under | 54c | 40.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Under | 54c | 34.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 48c | 29.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…4c1cbacked Under | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.