TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Over45c53,722$24,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,547.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over40c20,400$8,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,185.997750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under56c19,942$11,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,167.7138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c14,681$8,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,594.966,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under55c14,566$8,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,011.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under54c13,328$7,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,155.5295332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c11,608$6,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,352.475542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over46c9,645$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,208.37635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under59c8,556$5,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,044.371936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under55c6,420$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over44c5,500$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Under55c5,144$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829.2875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under55c3,861$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.5513742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c2,785$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.0557847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c2,472$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.5245249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdce…b9dfbacked Under47c2,370$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over47c2,290$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.85160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c2,286$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.5755351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under24c2,208$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.4540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under55c1,820$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over79c1,313$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.128560%51 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over80c1,308$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.724862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over45c1,277$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.119735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over79c1,261$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.972580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c1,210$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.571,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c1,064$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.544,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under55c1,023$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.661844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over59c999.99$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c971.45$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.7380853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under55c895.78$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.681877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under57c857.88$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.991457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under56c744.92$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.11618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda33…daccbacked Over68c739.98$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c720.61$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7569651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c658$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3220059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Over53c629.99$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under42c592.21$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.463735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over35c592$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.86160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under54c577.7$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked Under73c565.22$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Under55c531.57$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under28c519.97$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4669742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4d…3ac6backed Under15c511.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over46c482.25$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.413145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under53c459.94$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.771850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under55c394$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under55c393.89$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under55c353$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.498637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under57c350.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over36c346.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3218253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c346$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.841,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c345.88$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…7f51backed Under55c322$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…08edbacked Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over52c255$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c231.56$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.572,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4c…295abacked Over46c231$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under39c230.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0813633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under57c201.31$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3612654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.47844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under52c187.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.792060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6109…0baabacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Under55c178$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under55c170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.54847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over56c168.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7319356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over40c167.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.416740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over49c167.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.147950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over45c153$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4111049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over46c138$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9138…e556backed Over77c132.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Under55c131.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under56c129.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7513348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over28c121.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.816746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29346.2%43 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under55c118.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.053452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Over55c111.1$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under45c111.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over46c106.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5717544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9914546.2%67 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over36c96.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6318651.6%96 W · 90 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Over44c95.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c94.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9913444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over52c88.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0841243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Under55c87.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a8…5aedbacked Under55c79.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over46c78.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.037456.8%42 W · 32 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over36c78.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c77.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0740721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.